Narrative expectations in financial forecasting

Forecasting: Expectations, Intentions, and Confidence

All three articles in my dissertation gather information from individuals, analyze it, and aggregate that information into forecasts of upcoming events. The motivation is to make forecasts more efficient (accurate and timely), more versatile (provide the most useful information for each stakeholder), and more economically efficient (equally or more efficient and versatile for less time and/or m...

Eddie for Financial Forecasting

EDDIE is a genetic-programming based system for channelling expert knowledge into forecasting. FGP-2 is an implementation of EDDIE for financial forecasting. The novelty of FGP-2 is that, as a forecasting tool, it provides the user with a handle for tuning the precision against the rate of missing opportunities. This allows the user to pick investment opportunities with greater confidence.

Financial Simulation and Investment Expectations

Financial Simulation and Investment Expectations

Executive summary Future investment returns are uncertain; no reliable means to foresee them exists. However, institutions and individuals making financial decisions need an approach to model the range of possible future returns. Any approach requires two fundamental ingredients: • First, long-term historical returns must be examined to determine the attributes and interrelationships that chara...

The Impact of Integrated Narrative Therapy and Imagotherapy on Marital Expectations in Marriage Volunteers

Abstract Introduction: Given the importance and necessity of marital life and the need to improve its quality and satisfaction, applying psychological interventions such as narrative therapy and imagotherapy can be an important step in facilitating this important process. Aim: the purpose of this study was to investigate the effect of the combined approach of narrative therapy and imagotherapy...